|
Post by suprakthescum on Mar 18, 2014 19:23:08 GMT
Hm.
If we kill, poison we start tomorrow with 6 town 2 scum. Mislynch, poison takes effect, kill, 3 town 2 scum. We just need 1 mislynch in the 2 following days. If we don't mislynch though, the poison takes effect, kill, we are at 4 town 1 scum and then need 2 mislynches.
If we kill and don't poison, we go with 6 town 2 scum. We mislynch like Corrik says, kill, poison we are at 4 town 2 scum and then need to no lynch (are we going to convince town to no lynch this day instead of the next one?) so we need 1 mislynch and 1 no lynch If however I get lynched, we can still poison/kill the next day and then will be at 5 town 1 scum. Mislynch/kill/poison takes effect and we're at 2 town 1 scum and need another mislynch. So 2 mislynches If Shad gets lynched we're then at 6 town 1 scum and I can only kill that night so 5 town 1 scum. Mislynch/kill brings it to 3 town 1 scum. Mislynch/kill then brings us to 1 town 1 scum and we win. To 2 mislynches.
...huh. So I guess it does make sense to hold on to our poison unless Corrik or Shad wants to correct my math somewhere here. It looks like we need 2 mislynches no matter what happens tomorrow or 1 mislynch 1 no lynch if we can convince one other person the best idea is to just no lynch and dwindle the suspect pool down.
|
|
|
Post by scummyshad on Mar 18, 2014 19:54:17 GMT
Yeah, I like holding onto the poison.
|
|
|
Post by suprakthescum on Mar 18, 2014 20:01:00 GMT
So then kill Leo or gravy? I don't want to kill Raka or IANH yet, so I feel like these two are our best options.
|
|
|
Post by suprakthescum on Mar 18, 2014 20:10:45 GMT
Benefits to killing Leo: he's the better player, he's confirmed
Benefits to killing gravy: he isn't expecting a kill so he might do more of a reread than Leo, he's also "confirmed" with SHM's flip or at least very unlikely to get lynched
|
|
|
Night 3
Mar 18, 2014 20:24:45 GMT
via mobile
Post by corrik on Mar 18, 2014 20:24:45 GMT
I vote gravy.
Unpredictable.
Shad should be able to avoid one lynch.
|
|
|
Post by suprakthescum on Mar 18, 2014 22:18:41 GMT
Alright Shad, I have a meeting then I'm driving home. Send in what you want for the kill. RB Cross. Save the poison.
|
|
|
Post by scummyshad on Mar 19, 2014 0:21:55 GMT
Sorry, I was at my birthday dinner.
Actions:
Kill Gravy (Suprak sends) RB Cross
On the off chance there's a tracker, might as well make sure I keep my vanilla status.
|
|
|
Post by corrik on Mar 19, 2014 2:54:21 GMT
Even if Leo is a scanner, he didn't scan anyone guilty.
Don't fall for anything.
|
|
|
Post by scummyshad on Mar 19, 2014 3:14:19 GMT
I know, it's a Leo special.
|
|
|
Post by suprakthescum on Mar 19, 2014 3:32:33 GMT
Well, he could've scanned me!
(If he did I'm not claiming though. Might as well mess around with him for a bit! If he sticks to his claim for over a day, I'll just reveal and give all sorts of hilarious misinformation).
|
|
|
Post by suprakthescum on Mar 19, 2014 4:11:34 GMT
Yeah, I think Leo scanned me.
That's too dumb a question to ask without a scan.
Weeeeeeee well it has been fun!
|
|
|
Post by suprakthescum on Mar 19, 2014 4:17:16 GMT
I think he's waiting for Death/Panthera to comment before he reveals but "hey Suprak why'd you pick Caterpie again?" is such a useless question that he wouldn't ask unless he didn't think that wasn't my role.
Play carefully here, Shad. Leo is essentially useless as a scanner if he did end up scanning me.
|
|
|
Post by suprakthescum on Mar 19, 2014 4:58:24 GMT
Useless as a scanner from here on out I meant, obviously.
|
|
|
Post by suprakthescum on Mar 19, 2014 5:14:09 GMT
If I get a chance sometime tomorrow, I'm going to get a post going on how Shad is scum. Let Leo think he's fooled me with his "I scanned one of those three!" statement. Drive home how scummy Shad is, which should clear him once I flip.
Unless you don't want the attention Shad. There is a slim chance Leo is telling the truth, but I feel like he scanned me and thinks he tricked me, so might as well clear you before I get taken out!
|
|
|
Post by Corrik on Mar 19, 2014 12:37:57 GMT
He did not scan you, Suprak.
|
|